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Peer Reviewed or Not: A Reflection on How We Communicate About What Works (Blogging and All of That)

Labor Day ought to be a time to think and reflect on one’s work. This Labor Day I found myself thinking about this blog and the form of communication it represents. At the end of August, the New York Times ran an article about a change in the approach to publishing scholarly work in the humanities. The opening line of the article says:

“For professors, publishing in elite journals is an unavoidable part of university life. The grueling process of subjecting work to the up-or-down judgment of credentialed scholarly peers has been a cornerstone of academic culture since at least the mid-20th century.”

The article goes on to talk about some new approaches being tried in the humanities to publish in a more open environment: using the Internet to quickly get information out and get much broader feedback. Myriad new approaches are being tried for scholars to share their work on the web, get feedback, and broaden the dialog about whatever they are writing about. While the article is focused on the humanities, it raised a question in my mind about why such an approach couldn’t be used in other disciplines, such as health policy.

There is no question that peer review serves a valuable function of helping readers have confidence that an article has been assessed and found worthy by those knowledgeable in the field. It’s a kind of vetting process that can be very useful, and as noted in the New York Times, came about as a way of increasing the professionalism of academic disciplines.

At the same time, however, it is an extremely limiting process: many more articles are submitted for publication than ever see the light of day. And, while in some cases that may be because the articles were flawed in some fundamental way, it may also be simply because the article wasn’t on a topic relevant to or in a style appropriate for the journal to which it was submitted.

The traditional approach to vetting scholarly work is also a very lengthy: findings/insights are often delayed in reaching the public for six months to a year while articles are in review.

At CHRT, we have thought about whether we want to try and publish our work in traditional journals or distribute them through other means. For the most part, we have come down on the side of publishing the works ourselves and distributing the information widely. And, to date, our experience is that many more people are seeing and using our work (and, more quickly) than if we had waited to try and get it accepted in peer reviewed journals.

There is certainly a place for traditional journals and many of them are experimenting with getting things to the public more quickly. But, to do so, they have a tendency to rely on those individuals/scholars that they already know and whose work has already been established. While that can have great benefits in terms of quality control, it can also be enormously limiting in terms of bringing new voices and approaches to the table.

The challenges we face in health care are immediate and the answers aren’t clear: particularly when it comes to ideas to increase the quality of care, improve population health, and moderate cost trends. Being able to learn from others about what works and what has been tried is essential if we are going to make progress on these issues. And, in that context, those in health policy can learn from our colleagues in the humanities: new approaches to communication that distribute information quickly and widely and allow the reader to judge whether the information is of value may be just what we need to truly make progress.

To scan or not to scan

There is an increasing consensus that many high tech radiology procedures are overused but no agreement on what to do about it.

An important review study reported in the Archive of Internal Medicine concluded that exposure to even one CT scan can produce cancer later in life. The editorial in the Archive notes that every day more than 19,500 CT scans are done in the U.S. and that almost 70 percent of non-elderly adults received a CT scan within a three year period. That amount is stunning, especially when there are no clear data to support the value of these scans in improving outcomes or quality of care. The studies reported in the Archive concluded that the sheer volume of CT scanning being done, combined with the variability in radiation exposure between machines and providers, has led to thousands of excess cancers and deaths.

So, given that we have known this for some time, why isn’t the picture changing? Steve Hillman and Jeff Goldsmith provided an important perspective on this issue in a recent New England Journal of Medicine.

Among both patients and providers in the U.S. there is an assumption that more is better. More treatment and more diagnostic tests are presumed by both patients and physicians to produce better outcomes. Whenever there is a recommendation to stop or refrain from doing things — e.g., watchful waiting vs. surgical intervention for men with prostate disease, allowing a virus to run its course rather than prescribing an unneeded antibiotic, recommending palliative vs. therapeutic care in the terminally ill, or not doing testing at all for those with low back pain, there is an outcry that someone, somewhere is withholding needed care.

Witness the outcry about recent recommendations related to mammograms, or the charges of rationing when policy makers encourage the use of care based on evidence. In particular, when recommendations like these come from health insurers or the government there is a belief that the recommendations are just ploys to reduce spending so that someone else (greedy health plans?) can benefit. It is interesting to note that device makers, practitioners, and others who have a clear and direct economic interest in doing more don’t come under the same kind of public scrutiny as academics and others who argue – based on evidence – for doing less.

In fact, years of research tell us that in many cases conservative approaches to medical care actually result in better patient outcomes than do aggressive interventions. A backlash against these evidence-based recommendations can put both the short and long term health/well being of patients at risk.

Why do so many in the U.S. equate good medical care with more medical care? Much of this belief is founded and grounded in deep-seated American values. America: land of opportunity and endless possibilities. America: home of entrepreneurs and inventors of new things. America: where we prize individual achievement pulling ourselves up by our boot straps, Horatio Alger style. Our natural optimism and belief in all things possible combined with baby boomers’ “live forever or die trying” ethic lead some to believe – deep in their hearts – that death is optional.

Indeed, many of the things that make this country great also conspire to lead us down a path of greater and greater consumption in the search for ways to avoid the inevitable. There are many who hope the Affordable Care Act will change this picture. But if health policy makers are going to change the trajectory of health care spending, they must also understand the values and beliefs that underlie it.

Policy wonks beware: change will be more difficult than you think.

Pain Should Be Getting Our Attention!

The Affordable Care Act was signed into law on March 23, 2010. As health care reform is implemented and the United States continues to devote extensive resources to health care; there are real opportunities to improve health care quality and equity by improving pain care. Specifically, pain research practice and policy can substantively inform the broader national health care policy debate (Green 2008). Pain has reached epidemic proportions with nearly 100 million Americans living with acute, chronic, cancer pain or pain due to a terminal illness. Yet pain is a silent epidemic, and pain care is plagued by problems with access, assessment, treatment, quality, and disparities (Green, Anderson et al. 2003). Aging baby boomers and increased survival from catastrophic injuries, cancer, and diabetes will yield dramatic increases in the prevalence of pain and has long term implications on the nation’s health and well-being. The epidemic coincides with problems in health care access, quality, and disparities. Thus, undiagnosed, untreated, and under-treated pain is a significant public health problem.

Overall, pain complaints are a leading cause for all physician visits, health care costs, and disability in the United States. A recent issue brief from the Center for Healthcare Research and Transformation highlights the cost of pain in Michigan and the nation, as well as gender differences. Several of the most frequent diagnoses and costliest procedures were due to pain, with Vicoden™ the most commonly prescribed medication. Clearly PAIN should be getting our attention! Pain is a thief in the night that steals America’s mental health, sleep, economic productivity, physical health, and family relationships. The physical, societal, and emotional cost of pain are particularly important as the U.S. ages and diversifies.

Currently, individuals greater than 65 years old use more medications to control pain than any other segment of the population. Racial, ethnic, gender, age, class, and community-related differences in the pain experience are well documented with the pain complaints of minorities, women, and the elderly receiving less attention and lesser quality care (Green, Ndao-Brumblay et al. 2005). Thus, a tsunami of pain is approaching. Altogether these findings illustrate considerable structural barriers to quality pain care and highlight the significant public health and health policy implications. However, a clear disconnect exists between the goals for pain relief and the funding. Without needed improvements in pain assessment and treatment as well as managing the co-morbidities accompanying pain such as sleep disturbance, depression, anxiety, and disability, the increasing prevalence of pain will have devastating socioeconomic implications for all Americans. Thus, pain care provides many opportunities to direct health and social policy but state and federal funding and attention is lacking.

It is imperative that pain is included in a substantive manner in ongoing discussions regarding health care reform, continuing education for health care professionals, and public discourse. Optimizing pain care is a neglected topic in medicine with most health professionals receiving minimal education. The Joint Commission on Accreditation of Hospitals and Healthcare Organizations and others (e.g., VA) elevated pain to a health system priority. However, there is a significant gap between the health care dollars spent on doctor’s visits, medications, lost work productivity, worker’s compensation, and long term disability due to pain complaints, when compared to dollars spent on primary prevention and research (Green 2008). There is considerable variability in clinician education and knowledge, attitudes, and decision-making; complicating efforts designed to improve the quality of health and pain care. These factors contribute to suboptimal pain assessment and treatment yielding several challenges for health care planning.

The good news is that policy makers were listening to the voices of millions of people living with pain when they included the National Pain Care Policy Act within the Affordable Care Act, thereby providing hope for an interdisciplinary agenda designed to improve the science and reduce the burden of pain for millions of Americans and their families. The bad news is that this portion of the law was authorized but not appropriated. Thus, Congress must appropriately fund and make a worthwhile investment in a comprehensive pain care and research agenda to improve the health and well-being of millions of Americans living with pain. Substantial improvements in health and reductions in disability are achievable by delivering high quality, high value, and equitable pain care. The failure to commit to a worthwhile investment in a comprehensive pain agenda will have long lasting socio-economic consequences for our nation.


Carmen Green is a Professor of Anesthesiology, Professor of Obstetrics and Gynecology, and Professor of Health Management and Policy at the U-M Medical School and a member of CHRT’s board of directors.

Other Resources

References

1. Green, C. R. (2008). “The Healthcare Bubble through the Lens of Pain Research, Practice, and Policy: Advice to the New President and Congress. Editorial.” The Journal of Pain 9(12): 1071-1073.

2. Green, C. R., K. O. Anderson, et al. (2003). “The Unequal Burden of Pain: Confronting Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Pain.” Pain Medicine 4(3): 277-294.

3. Green, C. R., S. K. Ndao-Brumblay, et al. (2005). “Differences in Prescription Opioid Analgesic Availability: Comparing Minority and White Pharmacies across Michigan.” The Journal of Pain 6(10): 689-699.

The Fundamentals of Insurance Reform: A Reminder

On August 1, 2010, the U.S. District Court in Virginia ruled that the lawsuit against the Affordable Care Act (ACA) can proceed. Judge Hudson defined the issue as: “whether or not Congress has the power to regulate – and tax – a citizen’s decision not to participate in interstate commerce [by choosing not to buy health insurance.]” A summary judgment hearing on the case will occur on October 18 and every state and the federal government will be watching closely to see how the judge rules on the merits.

I have no expertise to comment on the merits of the case – there are attorneys on all sides of this question making what seem to me to be persuasive constitutional arguments both for and against the federal government’s authority as expressed in the ACA. And, clearly, the Virginia case will not be the last word on this issue. No matter what the outcome of that case, we know it will be appealed and the court action on the ACA will continue for a long time.

What I do want to comment on, however, is the merits of the idea of having a “mandate” – whether it is a true mandate or a tax is irrelevant to the way it is intended to operate in practicality. Recently, the Wall Street Journal reported that in many ways, health reform will represent a redistribution of benefits  This article focused on the transfer of funds and benefits from the old to the young.

Many more of our safety net programs transfer assets and costs from the young to the old – with a different framework of social justice: namely, the idea that older, retired members of society who have made their contribution should be supported by younger, working adults. The idea behind the redistribution of assets in health care reform is based on two fundamental principles: one a pragmatic, actuarial concept and the other a philosophical framework.

The actuarial concept behind the ACA’s requirement that all citizens have health insurance coverage is this: unless everyone is required to have coverage, only those who are or expect to get sick will get coverage. Over time, that would lead to what’s known as an “adverse risk spiral”: healthier individuals decide they don’t want to pay the costs of coverage, leaving behind a sicker population that raises the cost of coverage for everyone.

This issue is dealt with for the majority of those with coverage, by virtue of the employer-based group coverage approach used in the United States. In that model, all members of a group are required to be included in coverage, whether they want or need that coverage or not. This model has been somewhat modified in recent years as some employers have encouraged employees forgo health insurance for a cash bonus. But, the basic approach stands: group coverage always includes a mix of relatively healthy and relatively sick individuals, with some range of ages and circumstances as well. As such, group coverage is less vulnerable to the adverse risk spiral found in individually purchased coverage. The mandate component of health reform is an attempt to shift the individual market to look more like the group market, thereby making it more sound.

But, there is another issue at work with the ACA’s mandate– an issue about social justice and equity. Essentially, the ACA puts in place a principle that says it is in the public interest for all in society to have health coverage. There are many rationales for this principle. One is that insurance coverage is important in the context of population health: that is, we know that those with health coverage have better health status than those without. Another rationale is an economic one for society: those in better health are more productive than those who carry a significant disease burden. Additionally, health insurance coverage for all has an important component of fairness: that is, everyone will become sick at some point and when individuals with no health coverage end up sick, any care they receive is subsidized by the rest of us – the “free rider” effect. So assuring that everyone is required to have coverage does increase societal fairness for all.

Whatever happens in the health reform lawsuits, the underlying principles about how health insurance works – a pooling of the risks and sharing of the costs – cannot be forgotten. Like it or not, the individual mandate will make the private insurance market work better. And, it certainly improves fairness as well. Let’s not forget these important fundamentals in all the debate about taxation, states’ rights and the Constitution.

The Cost of Chronic Disease and What To Do About It

This past week, our Center released a report on the cost of chronic disease in Michigan. As we noted in that report, nationally, five percent of the U.S. population accounts for almost half of all health care spending and 20 percent accounts for 80 percent. In addition, according to the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services, chronic disease accounts for 7 out of 10 deaths annually in the United States.

In our report, we noted that for Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Michigan in 2008, those with no chronic conditions cost an average of $2,800 annually. By way of comparison, those with congestive health failure, the most expensive chronic condition we profiled, cost an average of $41,000 annually. Those with three or more chronic conditions incurred 10 times the medical expense of those with no chronic conditions.

What is particularly important to note about the conditions we profiled is that some of the most significant complications and resultant costs are either entirely or partially preventable. Hospitalizations associated with coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and asthma are all considered by the Agency for Health Care Research to be preventable. And, many would contend that early treatment would also prevent a significant amount of hospitalizations associated with mental disorders and osteoarthritis (the other conditions covered in our report).

And, perhaps even more significantly, many of these conditions could be entirely prevented in many people. The risk factors of obesity and smoking underlie many of these conditions and either cause or exacerbate them. While the number of smokers in our state and country has declined, smoking rates are still too high: 20.5 percent in Michigan and 18.4 percent in the U.S. overall (Michigan ranks 16th highest nationally in the relative percentage of smokers). And, obesity is increasing dramatically in our state and country. 29.5 percent of those in Michigan were considered obese in 2008 and 26.7 percent in the U.S. overall. Michigan’s obesity rate was 9th highest in the U.S.

So, the key take-away from this issue brief should be: we can do something about these issues. First of all, we know many things that work to reduce chronic disease. Value based insurance design encourages early intervention by reducing the barriers to needed and proven treatments. Community based strategies can help by preventing many of these diseases: indeed, we now have years of research on approaches that work to reduce smoking, and we know a lot can be done to keep people from smoking in the first place (or help them quit if they already smoke). Higher cigarette taxes, certain stop smoking campaigns, and laws that require smoke free work places all have been shown to work.

The research is less clear on what makes the most difference in reducing obesity (we know that bariatric surgery works to help those who are already obese but we know less about what is effective for keeping people from becoming obese in the first place). We do know the importance of multipronged strategies and working with schools and communities to help prevent childhood obesity.

We also know that we can’t afford to focus on just one issue when it comes to chronic disease. Steve Schroeder and Ken Warner made a powerful argument in the New England Journal of Medicine , reminding us that we have not won the war on tobacco use in this country. They pointed out that too many foundations and others have shifted their priorities toward reducing obesity, at the expense of initiatives to reduce the use of tobacco. And, while we clearly do need to focus on obesity, it shouldn’t be either/or. If we are going to really change the trajectory of chronic disease in this country – along with the attendant human misery and costs – we absolutely must use every proven tool and strategy we have. Prevention is the goal, but early intervention can make a huge and important difference, too.

What’s Early Childhood Got to Do with Health Care Reform?

One of the provisions I particularly like in the Affordable Care Act is the section that provides $1.5 billion over five years to states for home visiting programs for new mothers.

Under the Maternal, Infant, and Early Childhood Home Visiting Program, nurses, social workers, or other professionals are expected to meet with at-risk families in their homes, evaluate the families’ circumstances, and connect families with help related to health care, developmental services for children, early education, parenting skills, child abuse prevention, and nutrition education or assistance.

On July 21, HHS announced that it had awarded the first $88 million in funding for this initiative. Forty-nine states, the District of Columbia, and five territories applied for and were awarded these funds (principally distributed based on the relative proportion of children in poverty in the states). The first step in this initiative will focus on a needs assessment with additional funding coming later for programming based on the results of that needs assessment.

This provision is modeled on the David Olds’ Nurse Family Partnership program and underlines decades of research into the value of investing in our youngest children and their families. Indeed, this past week, David Leonhardt of the New York Times (I seem to quote him a lot in these blogs: he has a great perspective – or maybe, we just agree!) wrote a piece reporting on some recent research about how valuable it is to invest in young children. These researchers from Harvard looked at adult success based on the quality of kindergarten experience. One of the economists who conducted the research noted that a stand-out kindergarten teacher is worth $320,000, because that is what the success of children from their classes translated to in improved lifetime earnings and the like.

This research echoes the research on a cohort of children that attended the Perry Preschool program from 1962-1967 in our own backyard in Ypsilanti, Michigan. Larry Schweinhart and colleagues at the Highscope Research Foundation have been looking at cohort data for the Perry Preschool Program (a high quality early childhood program for three and four year olds) for four decades and found that benefits from high quality programs grow over time. The 40-year cohort study showed a return of $16 for every tax dollar invested in the Perry early care and education initiative.  Most of that return was the result of a combination of higher earnings and fewer crimes committed among this population as compared to the control group.

The Nurse Family Partnership Program, which was a foundation for the provision in the Affordable Care Act, is also a research-based program based on the theory that new, low income mothers can benefit from the ongoing involvement of a nurse in helping them to become better mothers. The nurse engagement starts prenatally and continues through the first two years of the child’s life. Nurses were selected for this work because the research showed that they are most trusted of practitioners and were able to build strong relationships with the women they were helping. The nurse family partnership program has documented a solid return on investment of at least 2:1 and as much as 5:1 in reduced child behavioral problems, crimes, and child abuse/neglect.

It is very significant that the Maternal, Infant, and Early Childhood Home Visiting Program is a provision of the health reform law that is not only authorized but also appropriated and was one of the earliest components of health reform to be implemented. $1.5 billion is a big commitment to an effort that is not as directly related to insurance coverage and medical care as the rest of the law. But, this is one effort that is truly at the core of what know can improve the lives of our children and reduce unneeded costs to society. This initiative is pure prevention at its best: research-based, public health-oriented and targeted to those it can help the most.

Prognosis on Electronic Medical Records: The Long Slog to Come

On July 13, 2010, HHS released final rules telling providers of care how to demonstrate the “meaningful use” of electronic medical records in order to be eligible for incentives starting in 2011. By 2015, most providers who don’t adopt electronic medical records will face penalties. The originally proposed rules were considered too rigid by many, and would have made it too difficult for hospitals and physicians to earn incentives. The final rules do give more flexibility than the initial rules published in January: the threshold to earn incentives is set somewhat lower and the bar is not an “all or nothing cliff.”

But even though the final rules are an improvement over the initial proposals, the provider community remains skeptical that the incentives – or penalties – in the rules are sufficient to entice a large number of providers to convert to electronic records. Most are predicting the dissemination will not be as fast or as deep as many would hope.

There is widespread support for the concept that electronic records can improve care. Global measures of the quality and safety of medical care show the potential impact of electronic records: countries with more extensive electronic records have better overall quality of care than the United States.

Yet, the data are also pretty clear about changing practice structure: it is hard and won’t happen overnight. Indeed, we already have data to say that the movement towards electronic records is going to be slow and somewhat painful.  A new study from the Center for Studying Health System Change (CHSC) tracks the use of e-prescribing and shows the scope of the problem.

Some consider e-prescribing an entry level component of a full electronic medical record; many groups and individuals have been promoting the use of e-prescribing systems for years. Indeed, vendors have all but given away these systems to encourage their use by physicians. But despite these efforts, the CHSC study shows that only two in five physicians in office-based ambulatory practice reported that IT was available in their practice to write prescriptions in 2008. And, I think, most critically, the authors reported that physicians who had access to e-prescribing did not necessarily use it routinely. Notably, about a quarter of those physicians reported using the technology “occasionally” or “not at all.” All told, in 2008, somewhat less than one third of ambulatory physician practices both had and used IT for prescription drugs.

The CHSC study was completed prior to the advent of federal financial incentives for the use of electronic records. It is almost certain that the numbers will improve as a result of the incentives and impending penalties. Even so, the CHSC findings are instructive about the challenges the implementation of full blown EMR strategies are likely to face.

The reality is: human behavior is difficult to change. And, though business schools have spent years developing change management structures for corporations, these methods are – at best – nascent in most physician practices in this country.

It is terrific that the federal government is providing technical assistance to practices to help them with IT implementation: that will certainly help with their success. But, we must be realistic about what can be accomplished and how long it will take. I do believe we will get there. But, this is truly a long distance race, not a sprint.

Physicians: To employ or not to employ – that is the question!

While my personal thoughts frequently center around issues such as “being,” on a professional level I have probably given more thought to the issue of physician employment than any other.

I am old enough to recall when an employed physician was actually an oddity. During my many years working on the provider side of the business, I experienced the rush to employ physicians (by hospitals in the 80s) that was akin to the gold rush. Many advisers and consultants, including think tanks like the Healthcare Advisory Board, suggested the real key to success was going to be physician employment.

You may recall this also ushered in the era of “physician practice management” companies that were going to hit it rich in the physician employment/management business; some, like Phycor, made it all the way to Wall Street.

And of course, we all remember hospitals that experienced devastating losses by acquiring physician practices. Subsequently, many hospitals and health systems reversed course – like ships heading for icebergs – and dumped all or many of their employed practices.

Throughout this time, reams of literature have been written on the pros and cons of the private practice of medicine. Many articles have extolled the virtues of “The Staff Model.” In addition, numerous “physician relationship” models have been published and promoted, claiming to be the Holy Grail of physician compensation and management.

When considering the topic of physician employment, the obvious question arises: By whom? Earlier I mentioned hospitals and physician management companies, but they are only two of an array of options. Foundations, for-profit companies, physician organizations, and multi-specialty groups are just a few other possibilities.

The topic of physician employment is once again front and center, and it continues to pique my interest as an insurance executive due to the implications for provider reimbursement models and physician/provider relationship issues. It certainly has bearing on current hot topics, such as patient centered medical home (PCMH), accountable care organizations (ACOs), etc. This issue has also become personal to me now that I have children who are physicians.

At the present time, it is pretty clear that many – if not most – hospitals have once again embarked upon aggressive plans to employ physicians. Interestingly, a few never stopped, particularly those who have based their systems on the Staff Model and Foundation Model. I have also talked with some hospitals who are not ramping up their employment of physicians and who still believe strongly in a pure private practice model.

Many articles in the literature indicate that recent healthcare reform legislation is likely to fuel consolidation in the provider community. Increased physician employment by hospitals and health systems would seem to be a likely outcome.

One of the big questions I have is: What has changed since the last time hospitals employed physicians that is fueling the current drive to employ physicians? Recent articles suggest the employment model will be “different” this time, yet, as I speak to hospital executives, they inform me that the losses incurred by employed physicians are similar to what I saw/experienced in the 1980s (approximately $20-$120K per year per employed physician).

I have also seen reports in the literature that each physician has the potential to bring $1-$3 million dollars in referral revenue to a hospital. Perhaps this is a motivation for employment. Yet, this logic only holds up if one is able to move business from competitors and produce adequate margin on that business to offset total cost. This logic didn’t seem to work out in the 1980s. It certainly doesn’t make sense if you are already the recipient of this business, except from a defensive posture.

Then there is the issue of independence and productivity. I have heard arguments on both sides of this issue from numerous physicians. It is a tough call and probably a very individual matter whether an independent or employed physician is more productive. I have personally seen proprietary data, during my days on the provider side, which demonstrated that employed physicians definitely demonstrated a higher level of loyalty to their employer than independent physicians.

It does seem clear that current medical school graduates have less of an appetite for setting up a private practice. This could be a generational or cultural/lifestyle issue. It could also be a function of debt load upon graduation, or a variety of other factors.

My colleague Tom Simmer, M.D. and I have had a number of provocative discussions on this topic. Based upon those discussions, and my utmost respect for Dr. Simmer’s opinion, I have come to believe that, in spite of the current trend to employ physicians, private practice physicians will continue to survive and thrive alongside their employed colleagues, at least during our lifetime.

I would love to hear your opinion on this evolving topic!


 

Bob Milewski is senior vice president of Contracting and Hospital Relations for Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan and a member of CHRT’s board of directors.

Health Reform: The Early Days

Early reviews are in and they are favorable! Public opinion polls show support for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) creeping up to 48 percent. All of that is good news, and a well-deserved commentary on health reform: States and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services have been moving quickly to put in place the most immediate requirements of the law, and communities, providers, and others are stepping up to participate in health reform opportunities (e.g., funding for more primary care training slots through the Prevention and Public Health Fund). In addition, states have announced the beginnings of temporary high risk pools, and the federal government has debuted a new website – www.healthcare.gov – to help consumers in every state navigate their health care options.

These achievements are quite impressive. The work produced to date has been of good quality and has moved quickly in accordance with the commitments made in the ACA. And all of this has happened without a Medicare/Medicaid director in place – which will now change given President Obama’s recess appointment of Don Berwick.

These early steps are critical: their importance cannot be over-estimated. Indeed, if one looks closely at the dialog around health reform, it seems clear that the tone and expectations around the ACA have changed in a significant way: it’s beginning to feel like the ACA (in its broadest principles at least) will survive.

While the lawsuits challenging the ACA continue (testimony was given in the first lawsuit in Virginia on July 1, and hearings will begin in Michigan and California later this month) and are likely to end up in the Supreme Court, the work of implementation goes on. The activity around the implementation of health reform is building a sense of permanency around the ACA. Even states who are suing to stop the law are simultaneously moving forward to take advantage of many of its provisions.

Advocates bemoan the fact that the major coverage elements don’t go into effect until 2014, and many feel without those elements, most people won’t really see how health reform benefits them. But as health reform is unfolding, and with everything that is happening before 2014, it is now apparent that people all around the country will feel the effects of health reform long before the major coverage elements go into effect. And even if court challenges are successful, unwinding health reform will be difficult at best. Moving a bureaucracy to implement new things is tremendously difficult (especially when dealing with one sixth of the economy): reversing directions is even harder.

Those who want to see this law succeed might now see real hope for at least key elements of the law to survive. And while the individual mandate is the piece of the law with the least public support and the greatest risk in the courts, there is much more in health reform to improve the system beyond the individual mandate.

Now, if just a little more effort could be put into helping the public at the grass roots level understand just what health reform really is and how it benefits them, maybe even the individual mandate will survive…

The Berwick Confirmation and Irrationality

The confirmation process for Don Berwick as President Obama’s nominee to be director of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services within the Department of Health and Human Services should be a most distressing sight to anyone who has spent their careers in health policy – or who even has a passing interest in the policies and politics of health care. And, if Dr. Berwick’s critics prevail, all citizens should be concerned about the message that would send about health care in this country.

It was bad enough last summer when provisions in the health reform bill that would have supported patients, families and clinicians with help they desperately need at the end of life got characterized as “death panels.” Those debates raised unnecessary fears and ended up diluting the end of life provisions in the final law such that families are getting less help than they might have. But, those debates did not go to the underlying and sweeping issues in health care. The current critiques of Dr. Berwick do. The Congressional critics of Berwick attack fundamental issues with a particular focus on how we use resources in this country. The outcome of this debate will have an impact on all citizens that will go far beyond health care.

Dr. Berwick has been “accused” of embracing the British system of health care. Heaven forbid that he should have good things to say about a system that has better health outcomes than ours on a population basis and at significantly lower cost (see the latest Commonwealth Fund report for its seven country comparison). The critics have said that Dr. Berwick’s embrace of the British system means that he is a big fan of another dreaded concept, “rationing.”

Dr. Berwick and most health policy analysts actually don’t disagree with that point, but note that rationing goes on every day in the current health care system in America – we just don’t make it very explicit – and that in the end, some form of rationing is necessary because we have limited resources and they must be used wisely so that multiple public needs can be served.

Many analysts have pointed out that the American health care system today rations care based on ability to pay. I actually think a more comparable situation to the British approach can be found within the health plans of those who are already insured. That is, I don’t know any health plan that pays for every procedure that has ever been invented. Rather, all health plans make choices about what to cover and what not to cover. Some couch those choices in a phrase in employee plan information called “medically necessary”, i.e. plans say they will only pay for what is medically necessary leaving the details of that definition up to the health plan itself. Some give a specific list of procedures that are excluded. But, none pay for everything.

This is rationing by any definition being used in Congress today: it’s just a less transparent, private sector approach to rationing in contrast to the British system that actually has a public entity that makes explicit decisions along these lines and that allows public debate of the pros and cons of these decisions.

Taking the arguments of the opponents of Dr. Berwick to their logical extension, they are either saying we should simply pay for as much health care as anyone, anywhere in the country wants (hmm, wasn’t there an argument that the Affordable Care Act didn’t have enough cost control in it?) or that it’s better to make these kinds of decisions through the inconsistent, somewhat ad hoc process that we have in place today. It is hard to draw any other conclusions from their arguments.

Over the year, Dr. Berwick has said things such as that in America we have a “dangerous, toxic and expensive assumption that more is better.” And, he has made clear his (and most other health care analysts’) belief that we can cut health care spending without harming patients because there is so much misspending in the current system. As a result, he has urged practitioners do things such as “reduce the use of unwanted and ineffective medical procedures at the end of life.” So, if this is the kind of “rationing” the critics disagree with, well, to do anything else would be plain…irrational.